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The next stage of the Hot Cold War

After a year of big surprises, led by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the global spike in inflation rates, and the collapse of cryptocurrency ventures, what kind of year will 2023 prove to be? This kind ...More

EJ Insight2023-01-05

The looming financial contagion

The fact that the world did not experience a systemic financial crisis in 2022 is a minor miracle, given the surge in inflation and interest rates, not to mention a massive increase in geopolitical ri ...More

EJ Insight2023-01-05

The fate of the global balance sheet

Just as a corporate balance sheet can provide insights into a company’s financial health, a “global balance sheet” (GBS), tallying the assets and liabilities of governments, corporations, households, ...More

EJ Insight2023-01-04

The fuel of the future

Green hydrogen is all the rage these days. During November’s United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP27) in Egypt, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz announced that Germany will invest more than €4 bi ...More

EJ Insight2023-01-04

Five 'wars' that could lead to higher inflation

Inflation rose sharply throughout 2022 across both advanced economies and emerging markets. Structural trends suggest that the problem will be secular, rather than transitory. Specifically, many count ...More

EJ Insight2023-01-03

What the world needs to achieve sustainable, inclusive growth

In November, hundreds of corporate CEOs and heads of state convened in Bali, Indonesia, for the B20 global business summit. The topics on the agenda this year revolved around three interconnected goal ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-28

Is a global recession really around the corner?

The world’s leading economists spent most of 2022 convincing themselves that, if the global economy was not already in a recession, it was about to fall into one. But with the year’s end, the global s ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-28

UK will remain very challenged unless there are bolder policies

A friend recently forwarded me an email from a client who was bemoaning the state of the United Kingdom and questioning whether it still met the standards of a G7 country. In response, I joked that si ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-23

Who’s ready to fight plastic pollution?

In late November, the Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee on Plastic Pollution met for the first time. The INC was established by the United Nations Environment Assembly with a well-defined missio ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-22

Can Italy resist fossil-fuel nostalgia?

In the face of Europe’s energy crisis, political and economic leaders in Italy, the European Union’s third-largest economy, are confronting two opposing forces. On one hand, there is fear of change, w ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-21

From climate justice to climate liability

Many have dismissed last month’s COP27 climate conference as a failure, owing to the lack of progress on pledges made at the COP26 summit last year, and to the absence of clear commitments to phase ou ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-20

Another annus horribilis for the Fed

On the 40th anniversary of her accession to the throne, Queen Elizabeth II remarked that, “1992 is not a year on which I shall look back with undiluted pleasure. In the words of one of my more sympath ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-20

Climate change is making us sick

A day before the latest United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP27) began, a group of global experts convened by The Lancet published a report about the adverse health effects of climate change. ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-19

Why the US must ban non-compete clauses

 US President Joe Biden tweeted in August, “instead of workers begging employers for work, we’re seeing employers have to compete for American workers.” Many corporations, however, are not competing f ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-16

The use and abuse of inflation history

George Santayana famously observed that, “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” But allow me to offer a corollary: Those who misremember the past may be led into error by mis ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-15

Too much gloom and doom?

Nouriel Roubini thinks the global economy is “lurching toward an unprecedented confluence of economic, financial, and debt crises, following the explosion of deficits, borrowing, and leverage in recen ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-14

A financial agenda for India’s G20 presidency

On December 1, India assumed the presidency of the G20. It is not exactly a propitious time to take on the role. A global economic slowdown is coming. The war in Ukraine continues to upend energy, foo ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-14

Food security is national security

Despite containing 60% of the world’s uncultivated arable land, Africa has been a net food importer for decades. According to the most recent estimates, food imports are the biggest budget item for ma ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-13

Debunking solar geoengineering

As climate chaos threatens the Global North and the lifestyles of the world’s richest people, we might expect to hear elites demand a rapid exit from reliance on fossil fuels. Instead, a controversial ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-13

The global climate-finance challenge

The dust has now settled after the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP27) in Egypt, but there are still many unanswered questions about how to finance emissions reductions and adaptation. Th ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-12

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