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The US debt ceiling debacle not over

The tentative deal that was just struck to raise the United States’ debt ceiling won’t make the problem go away. Partisan standoffs over the federal debt limit have become a predictable feature of Ame ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-30

Saved by the pandemic?

Everything changed in early 2020, when it became clear that COVID-19 was not going to be contained. Suddenly, life in the United States and many other countries came to a near standstill: schools and ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-29

The climate loss and damage fund is coming

Last November’s United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP27) in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt, concluded on a historic high note, with the last-minute agreement to establish a “loss and damage” fund. The ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-29

The only way to eliminate polio

When Jonas Salk’s polio vaccine was found to be safe and effective in 1955, following a successful trial involving nearly two million American children, it marked a turning point in the fight against ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-25

Keeping small islands financially afloat

It is too early to tell whether all the talk about reforming development finance at this year’s International Monetary Fund and World Bank Spring Meetings will translate into meaningful policy action ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-23

Sell in May and go away?

During my lengthy career in finance, I picked up several market heuristics that have generally proven more useful than not. Every January, for example, I remember the “five-day rule,” which holds that ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-18

Globalization is greener

The debate about how to achieve climate goals – most notably, the transition to net-zero emissions of greenhouse gases – has fueled speculation that the world will deglobalize. Some argue that, since ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-17

The global climate system’s Himalayan hotspot

In our collective imagination, the Himalayas – the roof of the world – are an archetype: glistening white, distant, even otherworldly. Climbing them is proof of humanity’s daring, courage, and drive – ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-16

Listening to Arab youth

Optimism can be difficult to muster at a time of heightened uncertainty and global turmoil. The 2022 ASDA’A BCW Arab Youth Survey, conducted only a few months after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukr ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-15

Winners and losers in the AI arms race

The first rule of forecasting, the financial journalist Jane Bryant Quinn once observed, is this: give them a forecast or give them a date; just never give them both. So, here’s a not very bold foreca ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-15

Dollar relief for the global south

The US Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates by 475 basis points over the course of 12 months, in a bid to curb inflation, was bound to be perilous. As should have been expected, it preci ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-12

Greening Eastern Europe’s growth engines

Over the past three years, a series of overlapping crises has exposed the structural weaknesses in Central and Eastern European (CEE) economies. Coming on the back of rising labor costs and declining ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-11

Making ESG ratings count

MSCI, one of the most influential gatekeepers of environmental, social, and governance ratings, is about to downgrade the ESG ratings of 31,000 investment funds in one fell swoop. The dramatic move co ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-11

Israel’s flirtation with anti-semites

When political leaders, and their admirers, claim that George Soros, the Hungarian-American-Jewish philanthropist, is pulling the strings of world affairs, we know that anti-Semitism is not far off. B ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-09

Technology for me, not for thee

Capitalism relies on competition. In practice, however, this core principle is often violated, because ambitious capitalists will naturally seek to eliminate competition and secure a commanding market ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-08

Realism about investment treaties

A stream of European countries have exited the controversial Energy Charter Treaty (ECT) over the past year. France, Spain, the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, Luxembourg, Slovenia, and Denmark have all ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-05

No respite from the slow-motion US-China collision

I recently attended the China Development Forum (CDF) in Beijing, an annual gathering of senior foreign business leaders, academics, former policymakers, and top Chinese officials. This year’s confere ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-05

The coming crackdown on corporate greenwashing

Judging by the growing number of companies vowing to reduce their greenhouse-gas emissions to zero these days, it may seem like the corporate world is finally taking the climate crisis seriously. Acco ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-03

Biden’s South American blind spot

Over the past few years, China has significantly expanded its economic footprint in South America, overtaking the United States as the continent’s largest trading partner. Despite US President Joe Bid ...More

EJ Insight2023-05-02

Sleepwalking into a global recession

The International Monetary Fund and the World Bank held their Spring Meetings in Washington this month amid growing fears of a prolonged worldwide recession and following a series of reports predictin ...More

EJ Insight2023-04-28

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