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世界秩序變 何謂合法戰爭?

在德國柏林圍牆於1989年倒塌不久,且距離1991年底蘇聯解體還有約一年的時候,時任美國總統老布殊宣布一個「世 ...全文

今日信報時事評論Joseph S. Nye Jr.2025年04月04日

全球化還有未來嗎

今年1月,野火肆虐洛杉磯,臭名昭著的美國陰謀論者亞歷克斯.瓊斯(Alex Jones)在X(推特前身)上發帖稱 ...全文

今日信報時事評論Joseph S. Nye Jr.2025年02月07日

金磚國家集團難與美抗衡

一個或許能在2025年開始找到答案的問題,就是金磚國家(巴西、俄羅斯、印度、中國和南非)是否正在成為世界政治的 ...全文

今日信報時事評論Joseph S. Nye Jr.2025年01月10日

烏克蘭戰爭的新舊教訓

兩年前,我曾就烏克蘭戰爭的八點教訓進行概述。儘管我曾警告,當時相信任何預測均為時尚早,但事實證明,這些教訓卻總 ...全文

今日信報時事評論Joseph S. Nye Jr.2024年06月06日

中美仍有可能合作

美國國務卿布林肯(Antony Blinken)最近訪問北京,冀穩定與中國的關係,他與國家主席習近平討論許多存 ...全文

今日信報時事評論Joseph S. Nye Jr.2024年05月15日

What killed US-China engagement?

When Chinese President Xi Jinping met with US President Joe Biden last fall, some interpreted it as a return to engagement. In fact, it heralded only a minor détente, not a major change in policy. The ...More

EJ Insight2024-01-12

Not Destined for War

The great-power competition between the United States and China is a defining feature of the first part of this century, but there is little agreement on how it should be characterized. Some call it a ...More

EJ Insight2023-10-02

Is America reverting to isolationism?

The first debate between the Republican Party’s candidates for next year’s US presidential election revealed major schisms over foreign policy. While former US Vice President Mike Pence and former US ...More

EJ Insight2023-09-06

If Trump returns

As the 2024 US presidential primary campaign season begins, the most likely final contest is a rematch between President Joe Biden and Donald Trump. Judging by the electoral map in 2020, Biden would b ...More

EJ Insight2023-06-02

Is globalization over?

Late last year, Morris Chang, the legendary founder of Taiwan’s (and the world’s) leading semiconductor producer, proclaimed that “globalization is almost dead.” In a world where supply chains have be ...More

EJ Insight2023-04-03

Popping China’s balloon

When US President Joe Biden and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, met in Bali last November, they agreed to hold high-level meetings to establish “guardrails” for the Sino-American strategic compet ...More

EJ Insight2023-03-07

Japan’s strategic imperative

Last December, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida announced the most ambitious expansion of military power in Japan since the creation of the country’s Self-Defense Forces in 1954. Japanese defense ...More

EJ Insight2023-02-06

Peak China?

The failure of China’s zero-COVID policy is leading to a reassessment of Chinese power. Until recently, many expected China’s GDP to surpass that of the United States by 2030 or soon thereafter. But n ...More

EJ Insight2023-01-06

War over Taiwan?

Could the United States and China go to war over Taiwan? China regards the island 90 miles (145 kilometers) off its coast as a renegade province, and President Xi Jinping raised the issue at the recen ...More

EJ Insight2022-12-06

The evolution of America’s China strategy

In its new national security strategy, US President Joe Biden’s administration recognizes that Russia and China each present a different kind of challenge. Whereas Russia “poses an immediate threat to ...More

EJ Insight2022-11-04

What caused the Ukraine War?

Russia’s war in Ukraine is the most disruptive conflict that Europe has seen since 1945. While many in the West see a war of choice by Russian President Vladimir Putin, he says that NATO’s 2008 decisi ...More

EJ Insight2022-10-10

Is nuclear war inevitable?

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and nuclear saber rattling against the West have revived a debate about nuclear weapons. Last year, when a United Nations treaty to ban such weapons outright entered into ...More

EJ Insight2022-09-07

America’s China challenge

At this year’s Aspen Security Forum (which I co-chair) in July, China’s ambassador to the United States, Qin Gang, appealed for better understanding of his country. But there was considerable debate a ...More

EJ Insight2022-08-05

Will the Ukraine war fuel nuclear proliferation?

When the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991, Ukraine inherited part of its nuclear arsenal. But in the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, Ukraine agreed to return these weapons to Russia in exchange for “assurance ...More

EJ Insight2022-07-11

Eight lessons from the Ukraine war

When Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered his invasion of Ukraine on February 24, he envisaged a quick seizure of Kyiv and a change of government analogous to Soviet interventions in Budapest in 1 ...More

EJ Insight2022-06-17

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