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Opportunities and challenges under the new economic order

... sting our surplus funds in education, infrastructure and health care, rather than use the money to offer doles to the public, can the quality of life of our citizens be truly improved in the long run. ...More

EJ Insight2016-03-05

What to do with the big fiscal surplus?

Hong Kong now has a cumulative HK$860 billion in fiscal surplus. Given such a big number, the 2016/17 budget has taken into consideration comprehensive and forward-looking factors to prepare the city ...More

EJ Insight2016-02-29

Tsang's latest budget has many bright spots

Financial Secretary John Tsang Chun-wah on Wednesday delivered his ninth budget speech. The top finance official has a history of vastly underestimating the city's surplus/deficit. But he has won grea ...More

EJ Insight2016-02-27

PBoC jawboning on exchange rate should calm market

... y's trade surplus climbed to a record US$598 billion, and the Consumer Price Index is at the low level of 1.4 percent. * He regards the slowdown in Chinese economic growth as a normal process. China’s ...More

EJ Insight2016-02-23

Hong Kong poised for HK$80.7 bln surplus, says KPMG

Hong Kong is poised to record a budget surplus of HK$80.7 billion (US$10.36 billion) in the fiscal year to March. The figure is more than twice the official estimate of HK$36.8 billion, the Hong Kong ...More

EJ Insight2016-02-17

Why it's perfect timing to introduce carbon tax

...  producer surplus (profits) from oil producers to the treasuries of importing countries, without placing too large or sudden a burden on consumers. In fact, by stabilizing user costs, it would offer s ...More

EJ Insight2016-02-16

China exports, imports shrink faster than expected

... ord trade surplus of US$63.3 billion in January, partly due to soft demand and falling commodities prices, versus US$60.09 billion in December. "Overall, we believe the sharp drop of trade in January ...More

EJ Insight2016-02-15

Drop in China foreign reserves shows stress, not panic

... r a trade surplus of about US$60 billion in January. The mismatch between an expanding trade surplus and shrinking reserves suggests China’s exporters are choosing to keep their earnings in US dollars ...More

EJ Insight2016-02-15

3 factors hold sway in movements of renminbi this year

... d a trade surplus as a result of bigger declines in imports than in exports. Service trade deficits have stemmed from outbound travel and from outbound investment by companies and individuals. The cur ...More

EJ Insight2016-02-10

The great escape from China and the renminbi

... ion trade surplus in 2015 should be worried about currency weakness. But a combination of factors, including slowing economic growth and a gradual relaxation of restrictions on investing abroad, has u ...More

EJ Insight2016-02-03

China's foreign reserves not enough to defend renminbi

... ion trade surplus in 2015, but its foreign exchange reserves fell by US$513 billion, indicating the huge cost of keeping the renminbi exchange rate stable. The drawing down of the foreign reserves can ...More

EJ Insight2016-01-27

Chinese economy not fully recovered yet

... ion trade surplus in December, higher than estimates. But foreign reserves dropped significantly. Although the December trade figures beat estimates, amid a weak global economy, we remain cautious abo ...More

EJ Insight2016-01-25

Here's what will ultimately decide the fate of China's economy

... haustible surplus of rural labor willing to migrate to urban areas has largely disappeared, causing wages to rise and the country’s competitive advantage in labor-intensive manufacturing to weaken. Th ...More

EJ Insight2016-01-20

Why the China worries may be overblown

... t account surplus. As of the end of November, China had US$337.7 billion surplus in its current account. Meanwhile, the fiscal deficit accounted for less than 3 percent of the gross domestic product ( ...More

EJ Insight2016-01-13

Chinese exports worst since 2009 but trade surplus expands

... y’s trade surplus widened to US$60.1 billion in December from US$54.1 billion in November. Last year’s weak Chinese exports and even weaker imports led to a record US$594.5 billion annual trade surplu ...More

EJ Insight2016-01-13

How to deal with the 'three lows' in 2016

... plenty of surplus in their external accounts, so their currencies will be stable, giving the central banks enough room to adjust interest rates and support growth. This will be an important theme for ...More

EJ Insight2015-12-25

Dull ache remains as HKU caps an eventful year

... op in its surplus which was nearly HK$1.24 billion last year, down from HK$2.5 billion a year earlier and the lowest since 2012 when it was just HK$67 million. Adding to the lower surplus was poor ret ...More

EJ Insight2015-12-23

The Yellen hike: market verdict is coming

... the trade surplus and stable economic fundamentals. I hope investors were not misled by Zhou’s remarks, otherwise they may have already incurred losses. This article appeared in the Hong Kong Economic ...More

EJ Insight2015-12-18

What is tricky about China-South Korea relations

... xport its surplus productivity and raise the international status of the renminbi. Following the Gwadar Port development program in Pakistan, the proposed transoceanic railway in South America and the ...More

EJ Insight2015-12-15

Time for Asian economies to deleverage

... turned to surplus from deficit. But developed economies like the G7 countries became net import countries with deficits in their current accounts. Until 2007, the emerging markets and the developed on ...More

EJ Insight2015-12-14

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