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Statistics and the pandemic

“There are three kinds of lies,” Mark Twain famously wrote. “Lies, damned lies, and statistics.” Too often, the COVID-19 crisis has lent support to the suspicions Twain’s bon mot expresses. Data are c ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-27

Leaders and laggards in the post-pandemic recovery

After the most severe global recession in decades, private and official forecasters are increasingly optimistic that world output will recover strongly this year and thereafter. But the coming expansi ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-26

Our responsibility to South Asia

Almost one-quarter of humanity lives on the Indian subcontinent. That fact is easily forgotten elsewhere, as world leaders focus on combating outbreaks of COVID-19 and its new variants within their ow ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-21

Sex and the Chinese economy

China’s recently released population census confirms the persistence of the country’s alarming excess of males relative to the global norm. This numerical imbalance from birth onward has several signi ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-21

The climate X factor

Climate change and biodiversity loss are the most pressing challenges of our time, so all responsible political leaders must offer long-term policies for confronting them effectively. We need clear st ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-20

Building vaccine trust, while managing risk

Hugging your parents. Meeting your grandchild for the first time. Laughing with friends – in person! COVID-19 vaccines promise to bring us closer to our loved ones and enjoy the sort of moments we hav ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-18

A global accord for sustainable finance

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused the largest decrease in global economic activity on record. But the drop in carbon dioxide emissions has been only temporary. Although global CO2 emissions fell by 6.4 ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-12

Help India now

When I was growing up in northern India’s Kashmir Valley, my physician father would often accompany me when I received my annual vaccinations. I used to ask him how vaccines worked and where they were ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-12

Will the productivity revolution be postponed?

Productivity growth changes everything. In advanced economies with a slowly growing labor force and already-large capital stock, it typically accounts for the majority of output growth. This means tha ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-11

The logic of US-China competition

In his recent address to the US Congress, President Joe Biden warned that China is deadly serious about trying to become the world’s most significant power. But Biden also declared that autocrats will ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-10

美國經濟正在復甦,還是「過熱」?

近期,美國各大財經頭條充斥着對通貨膨脹的擔憂,據美國消費者新聞與商業頻道(CNBC)報道:「盧佛集團首席投資策 ...全文

今日信報時事評論J. Bradford DeLong2021年05月10日

Will corporate greed prolong the pandemic?

The only way to end the COVID-19 pandemic is to immunize enough people worldwide. The slogan “no one is safe until we are all safe” captures the epidemiological reality we face. Outbreaks anywhere cou ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-07

Helping the other 66%

What is remarkable about the increase in nationalist sentiment across the developed world in recent years is that it is occurring at a time when many of today’s most pressing challenges, including cli ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-06

America First, Biden-style

If America’s allies were concerned by President Joe Biden’s remarks on foreign policy in his address to Congress on April 28, they had every right to be. Although Biden’s domestic economic agenda coul ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-06

The climate tipping point we want

Like most worthwhile pursuits, reducing carbon pollution comes with costs. If it didn’t, climate change wouldn’t be a problem in the first place – at least not from a narrow economic perspective. But ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-05

Is the US economy recovering or overheating?

The financial and economic news in the United States lately has been dominated by concerns about inflation. “Runaway inflation is the biggest risk facing investors, Leuthold’s Jim Paulsen warns,” acco ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-05

Infrastructure for the next American century

Infrastructure is the name given to shared systems that underpin productivity and make it possible to create good jobs at high wages. In the early American republic, the Erie Canal linked the Hudson R ...More

EJ Insight2021-05-03

A one-earth balance sheet

Last week, the world marked the 51st Earth Day. This year’s theme – “Restore Our Earth” – was apt. As the COVID-19 pandemic has reminded us, the effects of human activity on the planet do not respect ...More

EJ Insight2021-04-30

Building a nature-positive economy

The planet’s ecosystems are nearing critical tipping points, with extinction rates 100-1,000 times higher than they were a century ago. Our current economic system has put natural resources under ever ...More

EJ Insight2021-04-29

Measuring what matters

As many as 150 million people globally, roughly the combined population of Canada, France, and the United Kingdom, may have fallen into pandemic-induced extreme poverty over the past year. Partly as a ...More

EJ Insight2021-04-28

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