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GDP just a fuzzy economic measurement

The mainstream media regularly releases gross domestic product (GDP) numbers with the implicit assumption that they are in fact an accurate reflection of the general economy. But GDP is actually a fuz ...More

EJ Insight2014-07-23

Central bank smackdown

The term “smackdown” was first used by professional wrestler Dwayne Johnson (a.k.a. The Rock) in 1997. Ten years later its use had become so ubiquitous that Merriam-Webster felt compelled to add it to ...More

EJ Insight2014-07-09

Obamacare stalls US economy

A rather interesting shockwave came across the newsfeeds this week. US gross domestic product (GDP) shrank an annualized 2.9 percent in the first quarter. A quick perusal of the data on a government w ...More

EJ Insight2014-07-03

Italy: When hope is a strategy

Let’s look this week at what I uncovered in Italy, which rather surprised me, and think through some of the implications that the new developments suggest for the ultimate outcome of the euro project. ...More

EJ Insight2014-06-25

The Age of Transformation

Today I offer some musings on what I've come to think of as the Age of Transformation. I believe there are multiple and rapidly accelerating changes happening simultaneously that are going to transfor ...More

EJ Insight2014-06-18

Can central planners revive China's economic miracle?

For years, when asked whether I thought China would experience a hard landing, I would simply answer, "I don't understand China. Making a prediction would be pretending that I did, so I can’t." The pr ...More

EJ Insight2014-06-11

China's online banking may be encouraging riskier behavior

One of the few consensus ideas that I took away from the Strategic Investment Conference is that China has the potential to become a real problem. It seemed to me that almost everyone who addressed th ...More

EJ Insight2014-06-04

A bubble in complacency

In this week’s letter I want to recap some of what I learned from this month's Strategic Investment Conference but do so in a little different manner. I have come across several very good summaries an ...More

EJ Insight2014-05-28

Updates from the Strategic Investment Conference

At the average conference, over the course of several days and several dozen presentations, I usually expect to hear only a handful of truly original ideas… but not here at the Strategic Investment Co ...More

EJ Insight2014-05-21

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