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The great escape from China and the renminbi

Since 2016 began, the prospect of a major devaluation of China’s renminbi has been hanging over global markets like the Sword of Damocles. No other source of policy uncertainty has been as destabilizi ...More

EJ Insight2016-02-03

How extreme weather affects global growth

Until recently, the usual thinking among macroeconomists has been that short-term weather fluctuations don’t matter much for economic activity. Construction hiring may be stronger than usual in March ...More

EJ Insight2016-01-12

石油價格和全球增長

2015年最大的經濟意外是全球石油價格暴跌並沒有為全球增長帶來更大的提振。儘管油價從2014年6月的每桶115 ...全文

名家論壇Project Syndicate2016年01月08日

QE賭局 治標不治本

央行已變成賭場,他們不斷發鈔,就像不斷生產永不會兌換的籌碼一樣。其實,用賭場來形容當今的全球貨幣政策,再恰當也 ...全文

財富管理宏觀分析2015年12月16日

QE賭局 治標不治本

央行已變成賭場,他們不斷發鈔,就像不斷生產永不會兌換的籌碼一樣。其實,用賭場來形容當今的全球貨幣政策,再恰當不 ...全文

今日信報理財投資駿人雋語格羅斯2015年12月16日

Messy communication from the Fed

Nothing describes the US Federal Reserve’s current communication policy better than the old saying that a camel is a horse designed by committee. Various members of the Fed’s policy-setting Federal Op ...More

EJ Insight2015-11-05

How China slowdown could burst the art bubble

What impact will China’s slowdown have on the red-hot contemporary art market? That might not seem like an obvious question until one considers that for emerging-market investors, art has become a cri ...More

EJ Insight2015-09-07

Fighting childhood obesity

To what extent should governments regulate or tax addictive behavior? This question has long framed public debate about alcohol, tobacco, gambling and other goods and services in many countries worldw ...More

EJ Insight2015-06-15

Will the China-led infrastructure bank work?

With China set to lead a new US$50 billion international financial institution, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), most of the debate has centered on the United States’ futile efforts to ...More

EJ Insight2015-04-08

What's plan B for Greece?

Financial markets have greeted the election of Greece’s new far-left government in predictable fashion. However, although the Syriza party’s victory sent Greek equities and bonds plummeting, there is ...More

EJ Insight2015-02-03

Chinese growth: How much will it drop?

Premier Li Keqiang had sought to shore up confidence over the Chinese economy when he addressed global business leaders at the World Economic Forum in Davos last week. But what are the actual prospect ...More

EJ Insight2015-01-28

Do economic sanctions work?

With Western economic sanctions against Russia, Iran and Cuba in the news, it is a good time to take stock of the debate on just how well such measures work. The short answer is that economic sanction ...More

EJ Insight2015-01-05

Can Japan reboot?

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s recent policy decisions -- increase monetary stimulus dramatically, postpone a consumption-tax increase and call a snap election in mid-December -- have returned h ...More

EJ Insight2014-12-08

Are central bankers getting too much attention?

Why do the comments of major economies' central bankers command outsize attention nowadays? It is not as if they change interest rates all of the time. Nor have they developed new, more robust models ...More

EJ Insight2014-11-14

Who says high inflation is dead?

Is the era of high inflation gone forever? In a world of slow growth, high debt and tremendous distributional pressures, whether inflation is dead or merely dormant is an important question. Yes, mass ...More

EJ Insight2014-09-03

Europe’s debt wish

Eurozone leaders continue to debate how best to reinvigorate economic growth, with French and Italian leaders now arguing that the eurozone’s rigid “fiscal compact” should be loosened. Meanwhile, the ...More

EJ Insight2014-07-11

The 4% non-solution

For some time now, there has been concern that central bankers have “run out of bullets”. Having lowered their policy rates to near zero, they have engaged in increasingly extravagant measures such as ...More

EJ Insight2014-06-06

Where is the inequality problem?

Reading Thomas Piketty’s influential new book, Capital in the Twenty-First Century, one might conclude that the world has not been this unequal since the days of robber barons and kings. That is odd, ...More

EJ Insight2014-05-15

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